Labor in Tasmania hits rock bottom



LABOR has slumped to historically low levels of support in Tasmania, ending a run of routs and record poor polling for the ALP.


Premier Lara Giddings yesterday vowed to hold her nerve and continue with $1.4 billion in budget cuts despite a poll showing Labor’s backing at the lowest point since regular polling began.

The Enterprise Marketing and Research Services poll of 1000 voters showed a further slump in Ms Giddings’s preferred-premier rating to 19 per cent, down from 27 per cent in February, shortly after she replaced David Bartlett.

It was the lowest approval rating for a Labor premier since that which precipitated the fall of Paul Lennon in May 2008 and is 4 per cent lower than that which preceded Mr Bartlett’s demise.

Labor’s support was down 13 per cent since August last year to 16 per cent, compared with the Greens’ 14 per cent and the Liberals’ 44 per cent, with 22 per cent of voters undecided.

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Including the inclinations of wavering voters and excluding those remaining undecided, Labor’s support is down three percentage points since the pre-budget May poll to 22 per cent, the Greens are down four points to 18 per cent and the Liberals are up seven points to 55 per cent.

An analysis of electorate-by-electorate results, which must be treated with caution, has Labor winning just six seats in the 25-seat assembly. That is just one more seat than the Greens could expect, while the Liberals would return to majority government for the first time in 20 years.

The next election is not due until early 2014, provided Ms Giddings, Tasmania’s first female premier, can keep together a Labor-Greens alliance.

 

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