Syria: Russia’s support for Assad could be slipping

Mr Annan made clear it was “vital that (any) settlement (be) irreversible,
(with) clear transition steps in fixed timeline,” the diplomat told Reuters.

“These include establishing a transitional national unity government to create
a neutral backdrop for transition,” he said in his summary of Annan’s plan.

“It could comprise present government members, opposition and others, but
would need to exclude those whose continued participation or presence would
jeopardize the transition’s credibility, or harm prospects for
reconciliation and stability.”

He added that the idea of “excluding certain people” was clearly referring to
Assad.

“The Russians signaled to Annan that they accept his transition plan,” he
said. Several Western diplomats confirmed his remarks, adding that all five
permanent veto-wielding U.N. Security Council members backed it.

Another diplomat said Russia’s acceptance of Annan’s proposal, which he
circulated to the five permanent Security Council members this week, did not
mean it has abandoned Assad.

“I’m very sceptical,” he said. “I don’t see the Russians giving up on Assad.”

The Russian mission at the United Nations was not available for comment. Every
word on Syria from Russian leaders and politicians will be carefully watched
over the next 48 hours.

Russia has repeatedly said its supports Annan’s idea of creating a “contact
group” of powerful nations and regional players with influence on the Syrian
government or the opposition to push for an end to the violence in Syria.

Britain, the US, Turkey and Arab states have furthermore begun discussing the
possibility of exile for Mr Assad despite scepticism the defiant Syrian
would take such an offer.

Russia has repeatedly said it is not insisting that Assad must remain in power
at all costs, but that any decision on whether or not he should step down
should come from the Syrian people, not from outside pressure or military
intervention, as happened last year in Libya.

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