Global warming fraud: Iconic polar bear on melting ice cap a hoax

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Ethan A. Huff
Natural News
Aug 19, 2011

Images of periled polar bears sinking into arctic seas because of melting polar ice caps have become an iconic symbol of the devastating consequences of so-called global warming. But a new government investigation into the supposed science surrounding this now-infamous urban legend has revealed that it was likely nothing more than a pseudoscientific hoax propagated by faulty math and perfunctory observations.

According to a recent report by Human Events, special investigators from the US government’s Interior Department (ID) have found that a scientific paper published in a 2006 issue of the journal Polar Biology is filled with baseless assumptions about four specific polar bear deaths — and this eventually became the foundational argument for the fight against global warming. But in reality, the deaths may have had nothing to do with melting ice caps, and everything to do with a simple windstorm.

It all stems from an unusual air observation of what appeared to be four dead polar bears floating in the sea. From 1,500 feet (457 meters) in the air, observers reported to study author and biologist Charles Monnett, as well as contributor Jeffrey Gleason, that dead polar bears had been observed, which the duo later used to make various statements, including that “drowning-related deaths of polar bears may increase in the future if the observed trend of regression of pack ice and/or longer open-water periods continues.”

According to investigators, Monnett’s calculations concerning polar bears’ rate of survival, however, are flawed because he not only failed to verify that the four dead polar bears he witnessed were the same ones that he saw a week prior, but he also allegedly used faulty percentages in the process. As a result, polar bears ended up getting listed as a protected species under the Endangered Species Act, even though they are likely not endangered, and are not dying at the rates to which Monnett had implied.

Worse, the observed polar bear carcasses were never actually recovered and properly examined to determine their cause of death. So paper statements implying that ice caps were to blame are grounded in baseless assumption, not scientific observation.

Gleason denies that his and Monnett’s paper intended to link the deaths to global warming, having told investigators that they were likely caused by a simple windstorm rather. However, Eric May, an ID investigator, responded by saying that the link to global warming was “inferred” in the paper, which tends to make logical sense in light of the paper’s strong verbiage concerning ice packs and complete lack of reference to a potential windstorm.

  • A d v e r t i s e m e n t
  • Global warming fraud: Iconic polar bear on melting ice cap a hoax

Peer review process for polar bear paper may have been skewed; study data was not even aimed at polar bears

Monnett, who currently works as a wildlife biologist for ID’s Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Regulation, and Enforcement, and who also manages 50 million in research studies there, is currently the primary target of the investigation. Disclosure of Monnett’s “personal relationships and preparation of scope of work,” is also of primary concern because the peer review process used in publishing his landmark polar bear study appears to have been fraudulent as well.

According to Human Events, Monnett’s wife, Lisa Rotterman, as well as lead researcher of another questionable polar bear study, Andrew Derocher from the University of Alberta in Canada, both peer reviewed Monnett’s polar bear study. Having one’s wife review a study is, of course, an obvious conflict of interest. And Derocher, whose own polar bear study is currently under review, also happens to have been acquired by Monnett, which calls into question the integrity of his review as well.

After vehemently defending his work, Monnett eventually admitted that miscalculations and other errors were likely made in his paper, but he referred to such controversy as “sloppy” rather than “scientific misconduct.” He also admitted that he and Gleason did not have any proper documentation to back up claims made about observed polar bear trends — instead, they simply made the “best case” they could with the data they had obtained.

Another important fact is that the duo assembled their paper using data acquired for the purpose of bowhead whale observation and study, not for polar bears. Consequently, the quality of such data for polar bear research is cursory at best, and careless pseudoscience at worst.

“The paper gives the appearance that rigorous surveying was done for polar bears, when it was not. They did not know if the polar bears actually drowned — they assumed that they had drowned,” said Dr. Rob Roy Ramey, a biologist who specializes in endangered species scientific issues for Wildlife Science International, Inc., to Human Events. “There were no statistical tests, just extrapolations made with no accounting for measurement error.”

Besides achieving for Monnett and his research endeavors a significant gain in “power, money, authority and recognition,” according to Ramey, the acceptance of Monnett’s paper and subsequent listing of polar bears as an endangered species due to global warming has, at least until now, represented a foundational pillar of so-called evidence in global warming hysterics. The crumbling of this scientific facade, though, just might spur the much-needed shift in climate change science towards actual evidence-based based research rather than mere scientific semblance.

Sources for this story include:

http://www.humanevents.com/article….


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4 Responses to “Global warming fraud: Iconic polar bear on melting ice cap a hoax”

  1. AGW has more NAILS than Coffin

    They just drop new nails on top of the pile, now meters deep over the cheep pine box containing the CORPSE of AGW.

    And YES, this peer review process was a CIRCLE JERK Exercise.

    They all are, The Hockey Stick was only published after a concerted CIRCLE JERK Review process.

  2. Global warming is just a distraction from the real crisis…

    7 PROVEN FACTS THAT THE WORLD IS HEADED FOR AN ECONOMIC APOCALYPSE IN 2012

    (click on my profile name to go to my blog to see my full video)

  3. there’s not much dead horse left for flogging that’s for sure Glen…… hang on when Stalkon has finished sucking off Leylines the analytical alchemist off I’m sure he will have a ‘copy/paste’ for that…

  4. Oh, the same Inspector General’s office that allowed at least 53 billion dollars of oil lease revenue to be lost due to Interior Department corruption now is concerned with the “quality of research”. They used to be concerned with lining their own pockets with oil corporation money, but they’ve instantly mutated into saints concerned with the quality of scientific research.

    These guys at the Inspector General’s (IGs) office are pretty busy auditing scientific research, I guess. The Inspector General’s office just didn’t have time to keep the Materials Management Service of the Department of the Interior from giving away 53 billion dollars worth of free oil leases by “mistake”. The IG’s office also didn’t have time to audit the procedures and practices which could have prevented the Deep Water Horizon oil geyser- the worst oil disaster in history, I think. The Obama administration finally split off the regulatory authority from the oil lease management, but all are still overseen by the apparently corrupt Inspector General’s office:

    Wikipedia- Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Regulation and Enforcement

    Gifts, gratuities and the revolving door

    In September 2008, reports by the Inspector General of the Interior Department, Earl E. Devaney, were released that implicated over a dozen officials of the MMS of unethical and criminal conduct in the performance of their duties. The investigation found MMS employees had used cocaine and marijuana, and had sex with energy company representatives. MMS staff had also accepted gifts and free holidays amid “a culture of ethical failure”, according to the investigation.[30] The New York Times’s summary states the investigation revealed “a dysfunctional organization that has been riddled with conflicts of interest, unprofessional behavior and a free-for-all atmosphere for much of the Bush administration’s watch.” [31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38]

    A May 2010 inspector general investigation revealed that MMS regulators in the Gulf region had allowed industry officials to fill in their own inspection reports in pencil and then turned them over to the regulators, who traced over them in pen before submitting the reports to the agency. MMS staff had routinely accepted meals, tickets to sporting events, and gifts from oil companies.[39] Staffers also used government computers to view pornography.[40] In 2009 the regional supervisor of the Gulf region for MMS pled guilty and was sentenced to a year’s probation in federal court for lying about receiving gifts from an offshore drilling contractor. “This deeply disturbing report is further evidence of the cozy relationship between MMS and the oil and gas industry,” Salazar said.[41][42]

    The Project On Government Oversight (POGO) alleges that MMS has suffered from a systemic revolving door problem between the Department of Interior and the oil and gas industries. For example, thirteen months after departing as MMS director, Bush appointee Randall Luthi became president of the National Oceans Industries Association (NOIA) whose mission is to “to secure reliable access and a favorable regulatory and economic environment for the companies that develop the nation’s valuable offshore energy resources in an environmentally responsible manner.”[43] Luthi succeeded Tom Fry, who was MMS director under the Clinton administration. Luthi and Fry represented precisely the industries their agency was tasked with being a watchdog over.[44] Lower level administrators influencing MMS have also gone on to work for the companies they once regulated:[45] In addition, Jimmy Mayberry served as Special Assistant to the Associate Director of Minerals Revenue Management (MRM), managed by MMS, from 2000 to January 2003. After he left, he created an energy consulting company that was awarded an MMS contract via a rigged bid. He was convicted along with a former MMS coworker Milton Dial who also came to work at the company. Both were found guilty of felony violation of conflict of interest law.[46][47][48]

    Monnett’s wife is a PhD and runs a polar research division at NOAA. Certainly, she was qualified to peer review the paper and was only one of the peer reviewers.

    Here’s what’s going on, probably. The paid climate denier network needs stuff to write about, because their lies about AGW are wearing a little thin, and they can’t talk about the Arctic sea ice. So they look around until they find a potentially vulnerable scientist. The oil corporation dominated Inspector General’s office then launches a “Searing Federal Probe” using corrupt investigators who have been paid or who are being blackmailed into coming to negative conclusions about Monnett’s work.

    It’s apparently an oil corporation funded witch hunt.

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