Sarkozy awaits poll verdict

Nicolas Sarkozy is trailing his socialist rival Francois Hollande. European editor James Mates reports from Paris.

Voting started in mainland France on Sunday in an election that could make Nicolas Sarkozy the 11th European leader to be swept from office by the economic crisis and crown Francois Hollande as France’s first Socialist president in 17 years. 

Buoyed by a tide of anger over Sarkozy’s inability to rein in rampant unemployment during his five-year term, Hollande was between four and eight points ahead in final opinion polls for a vote that could mean a shift in direction for Europe. 


Despite shaving a couple of points off Hollande’s lead in the last days of a frenetic campaign, the conservative’s own aides privately admitted it would require a miracle for him to turn the odds in his favor and clinch a second term. 

French presidential election should be a nail-biter

“He’s like a runner – he won’t consider it’s over until the very end, but I’d say he has one chance in six,” a member of Sarkozy’s inner circle told Reuters on condition of anonymity shortly before campaigning drew to a halt on Friday. 

“Uncertainty about the outcome of the vote has fallen to an extremely low level,” said BNP Paribas economist Dominique Barbet. 

Polling stations are open from 2 a.m. EDT to 12 p.m. EDT on Sunday, and two hours later in big cities. 

Reliable projections of the result based on a partial vote count will be published as soon as the last polling stations close. Media that publish exit polls or partial results before that risk fines and legal action. 

Meet Monsieur Caramel Pudding, likely French president

The election comes at a crucial time for the convalescent euro zone, as France, Europe’s No. 2 economy, is a vital partner for Berlin in safeguarding the single currency bloc’s future. 

If Hollande is elected, joining a small minority of left-wing governments in Europe, he wants to challenge Berlin’s focus on austerity policies with a demand for pro-growth elements to be tacked on to the euro zone’s budget responsibility pact. 

Little known outside France, Hollande would also have his diplomatic skills put to the test fast if he wins, with a Chicago NATO summit looming in late May and a Group of 20 summit in Mexico in late June. 

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