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June 4th, 2016 
Awake Goy One question that I’d love to know the answer to is this.
If insufficient military manpower is the reason for this back and forth useless ceasefire game played by Russia/Iran/Syria, then why not solve them manpower problem and have the Syrians invite Chinese participation in the conflict with perhaps 50,000 troops dispatched to Syria to mop up the terrorists?
I can think of 3 reasons, which one is it, or if more than one of them, what proportion is with each possibility.
1) The Chinese don’t believe they have force projection capabilities to put any number of troops in harms way on the other side of the world lest these troops be cut off and suffer heavy losses.
2) The Chinese simply don’t want to insert themselves in a meaningful way into a Middle Eastern conflict by putting ‘boots on the ground’ as this has all sorts of unpredictable geo-political consequences and at this stage it is simply their view that it is infinitely more prudent to keep their powder dry for when it might possibly really be needed, or not, but it’s good to have the option rather than make a perhaps unnecessary commitment (from their point of view).
3) The Russians have made it clear they don’t want any Chinese involvement as Syria is their backyard and they will ‘solve’ this problem without Chinese assistance (which would undermine Russian claims to be the major bulwark against the West). If this third point is the reason, I believe that is a ‘macho’ mistake to adopt that attitude and dissuade the Chinese from getting involved. It seems clear to me that there is no clear path to a unified Syria under the Government of Assad anytime soon. Russia has been involved in Syria hardcore since September – nearly 9 months – and what major cities have been recaptured in that time?
Idlib? Nope. Aleppo? Nope. Raqqah? Nope.
Palmyra has – but that is an outpost in the desert, hardly a major city.
What is the timeline? It seems infinite, and that can only breed resentment amongst the Syrian people if they see a Russian intervention doing nothing to halt the prolonged suffering in the country. If a solution is not provided quickly it merely becomes a part of the problem.
Posted by: Jules | Jun 4, 2016 3:35:08 PM | 2
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