Tories lag behind in poll of the polls

The Conservative Party has been hit by a backlash from voters after last month’s budget, according to the latest “poll of polls” for The Independent.

It puts the Tories’ level of support at its lowest since the 2010 election, while Labour’s six-point lead is higher than at any time since February last year.

“March was very much a month of two halves,” said John Curtice, professor of politics at Strathclyde University, who compiles the monthly weighted average of surveys conducted by ComRes, ICM, YouGov and Populus.

In their polls before the Budget, Labour averaged 39 percent and the Tories 37 percent, but in their most recent surveys, Labour is up to 40 percent, the Tories down to 34 percent and the Lib Dems unchanged on 11 percent.

Meanwhile, there are signs of a decline in Cameron’s personal ratings; in the number of people who believe the Coalition Government is handling the economy well; those who have confidence in Cameron and Osborne and who think the Tories are capable and competent.

However, there is little evidence of any advance in Labour’s reputation. Ed Miliband is still less highly regarded than Cameron and his standing is only marginally better than a month ago. Voters still think that the Tories can handle the economy better than Labour would.

“Labour’s own reputation for general competence continues to lag behind the Tories’ – and, in fact, also fell away at the end of the month, perhaps because of the adverse publicity generated by the Bradford West by-election result,” said Prof Curtice.

MOL/JR/HE

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