Erdoğan is pursuing an active policy

Erdoğan is pursuing an active policy

Within the days after the inauguration Turkish President is demonstrating a good and active political shape. Considering the complicated domestic and international agenda Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is forced to undertake intense activities and launch new initiatives which, if implemented, may bring about positive changes in Turkey and beyond.

On the domestic front, naturally the main innovation in Turkish political life after the elections was the renewal of government where personnel promotion was based on competence, political reliability and promising age. The new government’s priority is stabilization of financial and economic situation with reliance on new tax policy and intensification of relations with external partners.

Erdoğan put the idea of full economic integration with the EU back on Turkey’s current agenda, which is determined by the natural process of trade and financial relations. Despite all of the rationale behind this thesis, it is evident that new Turkish government sees among the priorities of macroeconomic stabilization the expansion of relations with the EU.

Turkey’s national currency is rapidly depreciating against the US dollar, hitting a new all-time low daily. Mehmet Şimşek, Minister of Finance, will have to ask the Central Bank to increase the credit rate in order to overcome the concerns of large businesses losing profits from low lending rates to small businesses. For the first time a woman, Hafize Gaye Erkan, was appointed as governor of the Central Bank of Turkey. She is a trained professional in the banking sector and received a quality education in the United States, where she studied at Harvard and Stanford Universities, and received her PhD from Princeton University. It seems clear that Erkan’s candidacy was proposed by Mehmet Şimşek.

The current unfavorable climate with rising inflation and the fall of the Turkish lira, according to Turkish economist Recep Erkin, forces the tourism sector to raise prices for Russian and other tourists from the former Soviet Union. Meanwhile, for citizens of the United States, the UK and the EU, Turkish tourism this season will be much cheaper because of their connection to the world currency (dollar, pound sterling and euro).

Among Erdoğan’s other economic initiatives aimed at improving the financial situation in the country is his decision to raise the price (by more than 8%) for the passage of foreign ships in the Black Sea Straits of the Bosporus and the Dardanelles.

In foreign policy, Erdoğan began his new Presidential term with a secret one-hour meeting with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg literally on the day of his inauguration. The newly appointed Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, Minister of Defense Yaşar Güler, and İbrahim Kalın, director of the National Intelligence Organization (MIT), all participated in these negotiations with NATO representatives.

Some experts claim that Turkey has once again rejected Sweden’s NATO membership, although there have been no such public statements from Erdoğan yet, as was in April of this year. Moreover, after the negotiations in Ankara, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan had telephone conversations with US State Department Secretary Antony Blinken and Swedish Foreign Minister Tobias Billström to discuss Sweden’s prospects for joining NATO. Fidan stressed that Ankara is waiting for specific steps from Stockholm. In other words, the Turks may also agree to Swedish membership under certain conditions related to the Kurds and possibly other things Stockholm has done.

Another initiative was the sending of a new Turkish peacekeeping force to Kosovo at the suggestion of NATO in connection with the aggravation of Serbian-Albanian relations. Erdoğan offered Turkish mediation services to stabilize the situation in Kosovo. Given that Turkey has always supported the Albanian side in the conflict with the Serbs, as well as the Azerbaijanis in the conflict with the Armenians over Nagorno-Karabakh, it is easy to guess what Ankara’s approach will be in this case. Moreover, Erdoğan intends to secure Turkey’s role as NATO’s “main violin” in eliminating tensions in Kosovo. For Serbia, this would rather mean the end of resistance and acceptance of Pristina’s conditions.

Recent events in the Russian-Ukrainian theater of military-political crisis have been supplemented by a new series of tensions in connection with the explosion of the Kakhovka Dam, which caused a major humanitarian crisis for the civilian population of the Kherson region and adjacent territories. It is worth noting that this war crime was committed by the Ukrainian special services in hopes of undermining the defense capabilities of the Russian Armed Forces and creating conditions for an active counteroffensive. The Kiev regime in its turn accuses Russia of committing this explosion ostensibly to stop the so-called counteroffensive by the UAF.

Under these circumstances, the President of Turkey decided to make another mediation initiative to create a commission to investigate the causes of the tragedy and identify the culprits, with the participation of experts from the conflicting sides (i.e. Russia and Ukraine), the UN and Turkey. Moscow has always been attentive to all mediation initiatives by foreign states (including Turkey) and international organizations. And this time, during Erdoğan’s telephone conversations with Putin, the Kremlin did not object to the Turkish initiative, as long as the work of the proposed commission is objective. Erdoğan had similar talks with Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

Nevertheless, Dmitry Kuleba, Ukrainian Foreign Minister, in an interview with local TV channel 1+1, sharply rejected the idea and proposal of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to investigate the explosion at the Kakhovka Dam, that the Turks had allegedly annoyed the Kiev regime by playing “quasi-justice” and “give-away with the Russians.” Kiev previously did not show such undiplomatic behavior toward Turkey and Erdoğan in particular. Apparently, there are two reasons for this: a) the likelihood that the main perpetrator of the Kakhovka Dam crime will soon be identified, and b) the US instructions to discredit Erdoğan for his partnership with Russia.

Turkey tries to maintain an active position in international diplomacy, to highlight its role with new ideas, proposals and initiatives. Some of them have representative nature, some are more substantive, some are nominal, but all are intended to show Turkey’s new role in international affairs and Ankara’s orientation toward permanent membership in the UN Security Council.

 

Aleksandr SVARANTS, PhD in political science, professor, exclusively for the online magazine “New Eastern Outlook.

Сообщение Erdoğan is pursuing an active policy появились сначала на New Eastern Outlook.

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