Iran ‘has not yet decided’ whether to build nuclear weapon

Gen Gantz’s assessment of Iran’s intentions is consistent with the view of British and American officials. They also believe that Iran wants the ability to build a nuclear weapon – in breach of its obligations under the non-proliferation treaty – but has not yet decided whether to exercise the option.

However, Gen Gantz added that a nuclear-capable Iran would still pose a serious threat, not least because the intentions of its leadership could change. “I agree that such a capability, in the hands of Islamic fundamentalists who at particular moments could make different calculations, is dangerous,” he said.

Iran began enriching uranium on a large scale in 2007, embarking on a sensitive process that could be used to make the essential material for a nuclear weapon. But Gen Gantz played down suggestions that 2012 will be the vital year when Iran either becomes nuclear-capable or is thwarted by international pressure, including possible military attack.

“Clearly, the more the Iranians progress the worse the situation is. This is a critical year – but not necessarily ‘go, no-go’. The problem doesn’t necessarily stop on December 31, 2012,” he said.

Gen Gantz, made commander of Israel’s armed forces last February, represents a strand of Israeli military thinking which is preoccupied by the risks of war with Iran and anxious to restrain Mr Netanyahu and his ministers.

Gen Gantz stressed that Israel was a “temperate state” that would make its decisions “carefully, out of historic responsibility, but without hysteria”.

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