Johns Hopkins doctor says US will have herd immunity by April because more than half have already been infected

The United States will reach a level of herd immunity to COVID-19 that will allow for a return to normal by April, according to Dr. Marty Makary, a professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and Bloomberg School of Public Health.

In a Wall Street Journal op-ed, Makary noted that the number of COVID-19 cases is down 77% in the last six weeks. He claimed this is due to natural immunity among people who have been previously infected and the 15% of the population already vaccinated.

Depending on the estimate, herd immunity to the coronavirus is thought to be when 60% to 80% of the population have either been infected or vaccinated.

“As more people have been infected, most of whom have mild or no symptoms, there are fewer Americans left to be infected,” Makary wrote. “At the current trajectory, I expect Covid will be mostly gone by April, allowing Americans to resume normal life.”

Makary’s analysis depends on the number of people who have been infected. About 28 million people in the U.S. have been infected, about 8% of the population. Makary argued that the real number is much higher, possibly 55%, or about 182 million people.

HERE’S HOW MANY PEOPLE HAVE REALLY BEEN INFECTED BY THE CORONAVIRUS

Experts agree that the numbers undercount the true number of people who have been infected, given that many people have mild or no symptoms and never get tested. But scientists that the Washington Examiner spoke with have said the real number is about 4 to 4.5 times higher than the estimate. That would mean about 31% to 38% of the U.S. population has natural immunity, or about 104 million to 126 million.

http://washingtonexaminer.com/news/herd-immunity-april-expert-coronavirus

Source

You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

Leave a Reply

Powered by WordPress | Designed by: Premium WordPress Themes | Thanks to Themes Gallery, Bromoney and Wordpress Themes