Marine Le Pen and the far-Right may end up with no seats in French elections

Its best chances are in constituencies in the north and southeast, including
one where party founder Jean-Marie Le Pen’s 22-year-old granddaughter,
Marion Marechal-Le Pen, is running.

A survey released this week showed the Socialists and other left-wing parties
with 45.5 per cent of the vote, with the UMP and its allies on 34 per cent.

That would give the Socialists and its allies between 249 and 291 seats in the
577-seat National Assembly, with 289 seats needed to form a majority.

It may need the support of the Greens and Mr Mélenchon’s Left Front, which
combined would give it a majority of up to 357 seats.

The UMP is heading to win up to 255 seats, potentially rising to 274 when
combined with other centre-Right MPs.

The FN is forecast to win around 14 per cent of the national vote, making it
through to the second round run-off in dozens of constituencies. But it may
well end up with no seats or a very few, due to France’s electoral system.

The Socialists and their Left-wing allies have made a deal that only the
candidate who scores best in the first round will stand again in the second
round. But the UMP has refused to do the same with the National Front,
splitting the Right-wing vote in round two.

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