US election: Barack Obama faces calls from Democrats to change course

In a highly encouraging development for the Republicans, Mr Romney has turned
a 13-point deficit among independent voters, whose ballots are likely to
decide the election’s outcome, into a slim lead.

And to much concern from Democrats, Mr Obama’s support among North Carolinian
black voters – 95 per cent of whom supported him in 2008 – has fallen to 77
per cent, according to PPP.

Mr Obama has also fallen behind his opponent in the money race. Last month Mr
Romney and the Republicans raised $76.8 million (£49.4 million), compared to
£60 million (£38.6 million) by Mr Obama and the Democrats – the first time
Mr Obama had been outstripped by an opponent in fund-raising for five years.

Mr Romney’s campaign and Restore Our Future, the so-called Super PAC
supporting it, have out-raised Mr Obama among Wall Street donors by $37.1
million (£23.9 million) to $4.8 million (£3.1 million), according to an
analysis by Politico. The casino tycoon Sheldon Adelson yesterday gave $10
million (£6.4 million) to Restore Our Future – the largest single gift to
the Romney effort so far.

The developments came amid intense concern about the state of the US economy,
which had been slowly improving before a raft of weak indicators earlier
this month prompted renewed panic.

Just 69,000 new jobs were created across the country last month – not enough
to keep up with the growth in population – and forecasts for annual economic
growth were revised down.

“The economy is going through a rough patch, and that more than anything is
going to determine President Obama’s future,” said Chris Jackson, an Ipsos
pollster. “Independents are especially susceptible to economic pressures”.

Some Democratic strategists believe Mr Obama’s bid to campaign on the basis
that conditions are improving, and would be wrecked by Mr Romney and the
Republicans, may now have been torpedoed.

William Galston, a former aide to Bill Clinton, told The Daily Telegraph: “The
past two weeks have not been his finest hour”. Mr Obama has come under fire
for saying last week that the US private sector was “doing fine”.

“If he thinks he can evade the severity of the economic problem then he’s
fooling himself, and I think he’s more intelligent than that,” said Mr
Galston. “He must say why this downturn is different and why it is taking us
longer to recover. Then, I think, he has a fighting chance”.

In a speech on Thursday in Cleveland, Ohio, Mr Obama is expected to make the
case that he requires four more years to repair the damage caused by George
W. Bush, rather than emphasise why plans he has implemented are working.

James Carville, Mr Clinton’s top campaign adviser in 1992, said the President
risked appearing complacent and must instead show that he “understands the
depth of the problem”.

“I’m worried that when the White House or the campaign talks about the
progress that’s being made, people take that as a signal that they think
that things are fine and people don’t feel they ought to believe that,” he
told ABC’s Good Morning America.

Mr Carville and Stan Greenberg, the veteran pollster for Mr Clinton and Tony
Blair, this week released findings of focus groups from the battlegrounds of
Pennsylvania that troubled Mr Obama’s supporters.

They found voters unconvinced that the country was heading in the right
direction, and urged Mr Obama to proceed with “minimal discussion of the
recovery and jobs created and maximal empathy for the challenges people
face.”

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