The US is preventing the civil conflict in Myanmar from being resolved

The US is preventing the civil conflict in Myanmar from being resolved

Myanmar has always been a crossroads of migration routes and trade routes. Indochina as a whole is one of the most favorable places for the development of homo sapiens, therefore, since ancient times, many often not very close ethnic groups have lived on the territory of the country. It is not surprising that by present a relatively small state is a patchwork of fourteen administrative entities, in each, with the exception of the capital, there is at least one separatist armed group. Together, this entity is called the Union – the Democratic Union of Myanmar.  By the way, it is difficult not to mention that such a deliberately contradictory state came into existence only thanks to the British Empire, where it was listed as a single territory due to administrative interests.

Taking into account the diversity of ethnic composition, conflicts, wars, coups occur there with amazing regularity. Rather, the subject of this article will be the latest round of escalation of contradictions, which is ongoing right now with the active assistance of the United States.

On February 1, 2021, the local military, who disagreed with the results of the parliamentary elections, organized a coup. The purpose of this article is not to judge the causes of the event, since in a country where the civil war has not subsided since 1948, either side is ready to declare miles-long claims to opponents. For Asia, a military coup is a normal thing, a kind of one of the least traumatizing ways to transfer power when the official mechanism has stared slightly “glitching”. By analogy with Thailand or Bangladesh, where similar events have repeatedly occurred, the task of the military was to preserve the state until the differences between civilian politicians were resolved.

At the same time, we see that attempts by the military administration to organize parliamentary elections on equal terms for all forces are constantly thwarted by supporters of the National Unity Government, which exists and is fighting the official authorities mainly through donations from Western NGOs.

No matter how hackneyed the expression “soft underbelly” is, that is what Myanmar is for China. Beijing’s economic success is strictly tied to the uninterrupted supply of energy and food to the country. At the same time, the southern route of the “supply” falls on the Strait of Malacca, which, in the event of an escalation of the conflict with Washington, can easily be blocked. At the same time, it may not even be a direct blockade of the waterway, but, for example, a sudden outburst of piracy, which is already present there. The Myanmar-PRC corridor allows to bypass this “bottleneck”. In recent years, China has actively built oil and gas pipelines, organized highways in Myanmar. Naturally, such a maneuver by Beijing does not sit well with Washington, reducing its ability to put economic pressure on China. At the same time, it is the Myanmar people who have to suffer. They are hardly interested in the geopolitical games of a distant state.

 

Bakhtiar Urusov, a political observer, exclusively for the online journal “New Eastern Outlook.

Сообщение The US is preventing the civil conflict in Myanmar from being resolved появились сначала на New Eastern Outlook.

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