Gillard’s grace under pressure may not be enough

According to one of the key players in Rudd’s June 2010 removal, it wasn’t the fact Labor had plummeted in the polls that was the problem, it was the stark realisation among colleagues that Rudd had no ability to get the government out of the slump. “He wouldn’t listen to anybody, he wouldn’t make a decision.”

Whether it was the right or wrong thing to do, Gillard replaced Rudd.

When Rudd was running for the leadership two months ago, one ardent Gillard supporter said people should consider just how Rudd would have fared under the constant pressure Gillard had faced since she took the leadership.

This has included an election campaign destroyed by leaking, negotiating a minority government with a grab bag of Greens and independents and negotiating and implementing a carbon price, and all in the face of diabolical opinion polls, leadership speculation, a hostile media and constant haranguing by a tenacious Abbott.

“She has been swimming upstream in a river of shit for 18 months with her mouth open, and she’s still smiling,” the supporter said. “Rudd would have drowned long ago.”

Gillard’s strength and toughness have got her this far and those who once thought she would be the kind to tap the mat should she realise she could not lead Labor to victory, are rethinking.

Gillard shows no sign of conceding. On Thursday, she mocked the timelines that keep being set for her leadership.

Since the middle of last year, people out to depose the Prime Minister have set various deadlines, ranging from the visit of US President Barack Obama, the ALP National Conference in December and Christmas, to the Queensland election in March.

Now, anxious MPs are suggesting a move by the end of June should the budget fall flat.

“Clearly, over the past few days there are stories about deadlines and all of that kind of thing,” Gillard said. “If I was someone given to keeping newspaper clippings, I’d have filing cabinets overstuffed and toppling over with stories written about deadlines.

“So you’ll have to excuse me if that’s not my focus. My focus is getting on with the job in the nation’s interests.”

If her colleagues want to change leaders, they will have to blast her out.

Gillard can be as calm and resolute as she likes. If the grudging respect this generates does not translate into a lift in the polls, her MPs do not plan to go to an election on a primary vote at or about 30 per cent.

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