West Australian Labor has been given some hope they might win the next state election following a positive Newspoll, political analyst Harry Phillips says.
The poll, published in The Australian newspaper on Wednesday, shows Labor’s primary vote in WA has jumped six percentage points to 35 per cent, while the coalition’s primary support dropped by five points to 45 per cent.
On a two-party-preferred basis, the coalition’s lead over Labor has narrowed to 53 to 47 compared with the 59 to 41 figure taken during the last quarter of 2011.
The poll goes against the national trend that has seen Labor on the nose federally and in other states and shows a rise in WA Labor’s fortunes following former leader Eric Ripper’s decision to step down in January.
New leader Mark McGowan told AAP that Labor was still the underdog at six points behind, with the state election a year away in March 2013.
“The Liberal Party are raising roughly five times as much money as Labor is, so it’s still a very difficult road ahead.”
Mr Phillips, a political analyst with Edith Cowan and Curtin Universities in Perth, said the Newspoll would certainly lift the morale of WA Labor, which had been severely damaged.
“It provides a little bit of scope for hope.
“There certainly would be a belief that they’re so close to the vote they received in the last state election that with some improvement they might even have a chance of government, which I don’t think they felt was the case a few months ago.
“I think when your hopes lift it creates more enthusiasm and also importantly can lead to the better prospect of at least some donations,” Mr Phillips said.
He said Mr Ripper failed to achieve a rapport with the electorate and push his and the party’s ratings up, but he was a solid leader who left the party united.
Mr McGowan was moving ahead with fresh policy ideas and performed well in the media spotlight, he said.
Mr Phillips said part of the exercise for WA Labor was to divorce itself as much as possible from federal Labor, a difficult task that Mr Ripper had started and Mr McGowan was continuing.
He said WA Labor was making ground on household costs, which had been an important issue in the Queensland election, and even the WA government recognised it had to look at that issue.
WA Labor has been hammering the Barnett government over its big hikes in electricity and water prices.
Related posts:
Views: 0