Campbell Newman is Queensland’s next premier, if two polls just two days out from the real one have got it right.
Early on Thursday, ReachTEL, the automated phone poll that has been gauging the feeling in Mr Newman’s desired electorate of Ashgrove, had him ahead.
The poll had the Liberal National Party (LNP) leader’s primary vote at 49 per cent, up from 45.4 two weeks ago.
Later in the day a Galaxy Poll for couriermail.com.au gave him 52 per cent of the primary vote, a seven per cent surge from two weeks ago.
The polls would put to bed the dangling question of who would lead a LNP government if the party’s huge gamble – Mr Newman’s bid to lead the state from outside parliament – did not pay off.
But he refuses to claim the winner’s status.
“It’s the same as I’ve been saying all along, that this is a long tough fight across the state,” Mr Newman told reporters in Brisbane’s east.
He clearly wants the landslide the polls tip.
“There will not be an LNP government … unless people turn out in force and vote the Labor party out and the LNP in,” he said.
The LNP left it until two days before the election to reveal how it would fund $4 billion in election promises.
The savings would come from a three per cent cap on the public sector wages bill, amongst other measures.
Mr Newman let his deputy Tim Nicholls handle the financial questions.
And it meant they weren’t on the same page about how the party plans to enter wage negotiations.
Mr Newman says he is be happy to match pay rises with inflation, but his would-be treasurer refuses to start talks with anything guaranteed.
“I’m not going to enter into an industrial negotiation by media conference,” Mr Nicholls told reporters.
Mr Newman was campaigning in Brisbane’s east, where he met four-year-old Melody Fraser.
“Has the tooth fairy been in recent times?” he asked.
A coy Melody nodded.
Mr Newman was then shocked to learn the going rate for teeth is $5, and that Melody had already spent it.
“I only got five cents,” he said.
Treasurer Andrew Fraser also thinks the LNP is out of step on money matters, saying the economic plan would send a shiver down the spine of public servants.
“No wonder they kept it hidden until the dying days of the election campaign,” he said.
Labor spirits were lifted temporarily on Thursday with a visit from former prime minister Bob Hawke.
Mr Hawke joined Premier Anna Bligh for a rally in Ashgrove, and told reporters Labor hadn’t been given enough credit for what it had achieved in Queensland.
“I don’t think there has been sufficient appreciation,” he said, adding the premier had been “outstanding”.
Ms Bligh will campaign until 2am (AEST) on Friday before a short break, in a desperate grab to save any seat from the LNP’s clutches.
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