Steve Clemons wrote on the Atlantic that the prospects of a war with Iran is “far off and in the near term unlikely, unless Israel makes a tremendous mistake by triggering and forcing a geostrategic move by the United States.”
“It is ridiculous to think that a strike by Israel against Iran would not be staggeringly expensive and consequential–in real terms, it would tie the US to the conflict.” Clemons said.
However, the foreign affairs analyst warned that the consequences of such an Israeli folly would be so dire that it “could very well ultimately dismantle the close US-Israel relationship.”
Clemons said there was a similar hype about a US strike on Iran in the summer of 2007 and 2010, however, “Today, things are fuzzier.”
He noted how various GOP presidential candidates “seem to be competing with each other” to tell US citizens how quickly they would deploy American military and intelligence assets to sabotage Iran’s nuclear program.
In a presidential debate last November, Newt Gingrich said that if other methods fail, “you have to take whatever steps are necessary to break its [the Iranian government’s] capacity to have a nuclear weapon.”
He also promised to nominate as his secretary of state former Bush administration United Nations ambassador John Bolton, a man who has said that the only remaining “option is to take preemptive military action to break Iran’s program.”
Rick Santorum, another Republican candidate, confirmed the threats by saying the US should “degrade those [Iran’s] facilities through airstrikes.”
A third GOP hopeful, Mitt Romney, argued last November that if sanctions and covert action fail, “then of course you take military action” against Iran.
Washington and Tel Aviv have repeatedly threatened Tehran with the “option” of a military strike, based on the allegation that Iran’s nuclear program may include a covert military aspect.
Iran has categorically refuted the allegations, saying that as a signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and a member of the International Atomic Energy Agency, it is entitled to develop and acquire nuclear technology for peaceful purposes.
“Wars cost lots and lots of money–and if a substantial chunk of the GOP crowd wants these wars and feels that it is in our national interest to have them, then by all means they should start lining up some of the wealthiest in the country who are helping to agitate for these conflicts to pay more in taxes for them,” Clemons concluded.
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