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February 10th, 2012 
FAKE NEWS for the Zionist agenda JESSICA van VONDEREN: A new opinion poll has sounded a warning to Campbell Newman in the seat he must win if he’s to become Premier, Labor is fighting back. The incumbent Kate Jones is still trailing the LNP Leader, but the gap is closing. And there’s still six weeks left to run in the battle for Ashgrove.
(FOOTAGE OF CAMPAIGNERS AT ASHGROVE)
JESSICA van VONDEREN: They’re the loyal foot soldiers on the frontline of any election campaign giving up their time to sit on the pavement hand out flyers and wave at passing traffic.
CHRIS SAXBY, LNP SUPPORTER: We start about 7.30 in the morning, put up signs, and really we just talk to people as they’re going past. They often ask questions. Generally people are quite friendly and there’s a sense of humour about what’s happening I think, but you get the odd finger out of the car window, but you just take it with a smile.
JOY CLARKE, LNP SUPPORTER: mwah! love ya!
JESSICA van VONDEREN: All for the cause they believe in.
JOY CLARKE: I do feel passionate. I’m a retiree and plenty of time on my hands, too hot to garden and hot to trot on the elections! ha ha.
PATSY BRUSASCO, ALP SUPPORTER: I think most of us would do whatever we have to do to see that she’s re-elected.
JESSICA van VONDEREN: Nowhere is the battle more fierce, than Ashgrove.
BARBARA NELSON, ALP SUPPORTER: I feel really passionately about keeping Kate.
GLENN MANSER, VOTER: I support Kate, I don’t necessarily support the Labor party, but I think Kate’s a great State member.
SAM ANDERSON, LNP SUPPORTER: Campbell Newman is the reason why I got involved in politics. He’s pretty much an inspiration to me. So I’m trying to do everything I can go get him over the line.
(FOOTAGE OF CAMPBELL NEWMAN AT LNP MORNING TEA)
CAMPBELL NEWMAN, LNP LEADER: Good morning ladies and gentlemen, and thank you so much for coming along.
JESSICA van VONDEREN: The stakes are high. If Campbell Newman doesn’t get over the line in Ashgrove, he won’t be Premier. Kate Jones will be a Labor hero if she stops him.
KATE JONES, LABOR MP: This will be the toughest fight that we have ever seen. This will go right down to the wire.
JESSICA van VONDEREN: She might be right.
JAMES STEWART, REACHTEL: Look at these results from last night?
JESSICA van VONDEREN: Market researcher, Reachtel, has been polling residents in Ashgrove every month for the last six months… using an automated questionnaire. Last night more than 600 people were surveyed.
JAMES STEWART: The primary vote for last night was rather exciting. It’s actually the first time that Campbell Newman had dipped below 50% in the last six months, so he came in last night at roughly 49% and Kate Jones followed on 41%.
GRAPH:
Kate Jones: 41.0%
Campbell Newman: 49.2%
Greens: 5.7%
Katter’s Australian party: 1.3%
One Nation: 0.7%
Other: 2.1%
JESSICA van VONDEREN: The minor parties all polled in single digits. Forced to choose between the leading candidates, the race is even closer with Kate Jones clawing back ground.
JAMES STEWART: We’ve now got Campbell on 51 and Kate on 49 which I believe is actually the closest two party preferred or forced choice that we’ve had.
JESSICA van VONDEREN: Kate Jones last year quit her post as Environment Minister to concentrate on the battle in Ashgrove.
(KATE JONES TALKS TO MEALS ON WHEELS CHEFS)
KATE JONES: what’s on the menu today?
CHEFS: We have a tuna pasta salad.
JESSICA van VONDEREN: Once a month, she volunteers with meals on wheels.
(FOOTAGE OF KATE JONES DOING MEALS ON WHEELS)
KATE JONES: Kiss! You’re a good boy. My little buddy.
JESSICA van VONDEREN: It’s these local ties her own personal street cred that the 32 year old is basing her campaign around.
KATE JONES: I live here, I will always live here and my son will grow up here and I think we do deserve someone that will stand up for our local schools and for local services and that’s something I’m very passionate about.
(FOOTAGE OF KATE JONES WITH HER KEEP KATE SUPPORTERS)
JESSICA van VONDEREN: She’s won the seat for Labor twice before but the Labor brand barely rates a mention this time around. Reachtel asked Ashgrove residents about this strategy, exclusively for 7.30 Queensland.
JAMES STEWART: Some of her campaign material is lacking the Labor endorsement or the Labor logo. We asked if this made people more likely to vote for her, less likely or if their vote was unchanged.
GRAPH:
More likely to vote for her 12.5 %
Unchanged 59.3 %
Less likely to vote for her 21 %
JESSICA van VONDEREN: For 66 per cent of people, it made no difference.
KATE JONES: This is I think in this electorate a choice between an outsider that is using this seat as a stepping stone and someone that grew up here, lives here and is passionate about representing us in the Queensland Parliament.
JESSICA van VONDEREN: Campbell Newman lives a few kilometres outside the electorate but never misses a chance to spell out his Ashgrove connections.
CAMPBELL NEWMAN: I lived just across the way here about 200 metres away for 10 years, prior to that I lived for three years at the Enoggera army barracks. My kids do ballet just down the hall there about 100 yards away and my bank branch is just around the corner.
(FOOTAGE OF KATE JONES WITH KEVIN RUDD)A
JESSICA van VONDEREN: But that’s not close enough for his rival who’s pulled in some big guns to help her campaign.
KEVIN RUDD, FOREIGN AFFAIRS MINISTER: Here you have a woman of enormous courage. Kate the local, versus Campbell Newman the foreigner.
CAMPBELL NEWMAN: If Kevin Rudd wants to campaign here I’ll keep reminding people that he’s part of the Labor Party, Kate Jones is part of the Labor Party, Anna Bligh is part of the Labor Party. They’ve been in charge of Queensland for 20 of the last 22 years and it’s time for a change. I don’t need other people to come in and prop me up. I’ll be quite happy to campaign on my track record.
JESSICA van VONDEREN: In last night’s poll, residents were asked whether the fact Mr Newman does not live in the electorate would change their voting intentions. Almost two thirds said it made no difference.
GRAPH:
ASHGROVE POLL:
More Likely 14.0%
Less Likely 26.7%
Unchanged 59.3%
JAMES STEWART: 60 per cent of people said their vote was unchanged. we had 14 per cent of people said they were more likely and roughly 27 per cent of people said they were less likely to vote for him because of that fact.
JESSICA van VONDEREN: Mr Newman says he can be Premier and represent the electorate.
CAMPBELL NEWMAN: I will get around. One thing people need to remember, I’m high energy, I’m passionate, I’m committed. I can do this job as a local member and I can serve people as the Premier of Queensland if they elect me.
JESSICA van VONDEREN: Kate Jones holds the seat of Ashgrove with a seven-point-one per cent margin. That would normally be considered a healthy buffer. But there’s nothing normal about this campaign. Rarely has the outcome of an election rested so heavily on a single seat. The 31-thousand voters here have a big decision to make. And thrown into the mix, are three other candidates. One Nation’s Ian Nelson.
IAN NELSON, ONE NATION CANDIDATE: I’m pretty concerned about the absolute gridlock of traffic. Public transport’s pretty bad.
JESSICA van VONDEREN: Norman Wicks from Katter’s Australian party.
NORMAN WICKS, KATTER’S AUSTRALIAN PARTY: Living costs are out of kilter, and we need to get these back under some control.
JESSICA van VONDEREN: And the Greens.
(FOOTAGE OF DR SANDRA BAYLEY, CAMPAIGN DOOR KNOCKING)
DR SANDRA BAYLEY, GREENS: I’m Sandra Bayley and I’m just introducing myself to people.
JESSICA van VONDEREN: Dr Bayley acknowledges she’s unlikely to win but she’s not about to help the major parties over the line either.
DR SANDRA BAYLEY: I could recommend neither and I can’t envisage either of them prioritising environment. Sadly environment is usually the last consideration.
CAMPBELL NEWMAN: This will be a tough race.
(JESSICA van VONDEREN SPEAKS WITH KATE JONES)
JESSICA van VONDEREN: Can you win?
KATE JONES: Absolutely. It’ll be tough. This is the toughest challenge that I will ever face.
JESSICA van VONDEREN: It’s been a long march to the ballot box there are still six weeks to go.
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